Bank NotesIssue 6, 13 Aug 2026All issues →

The World Cup sell-off saga shows corporate corruption persists if it remains profitable

FIFA's abandoned World Cup sale shows organizations only reform when misconduct threatens profits, so integrity must pay better than corruption.

Organizations will continue to be corrupt if it makes more money than compliance.

In the past few weeks, there have been plenty of corruption allegations directed at FIFA after its president Gianni Infantino announced plans to sell off stakes in the World Cup to private investors. This is just the latest in a long string of FIFA scandals that have emerged this summer.

This latest scandal, however, has been met by strong action from governing football bodies across the globe that seriously threatens the profitability of the tournament. I think it proves a wider problem with corporate governance: nothing happens to poor governance until profits are jeopardized, because there is simply no incentive to change.

Fan protests did not dent FIFA's revenue

Prior to the World Cup, I saw growing speculation of fans not watching the tournament in protest of the various commercial controversies surrounding it. The same speculation happened prior to Qatar 2022.

In both instances, football was played, and the fans were watching, even after the widespread discontent that surrounded the suspension of US striker Folarin Balogun's one-game ban. In both instances, FIFA announced record-breaking revenue.

I think this is a significant problem that isn't unique to football.

Fines are a cost of doing business

In many instances, allegations go beyond public criticism and result in formal investigations and hefty fines. This might work for smaller bodies but for some of the world's largest organizations these traditional punishments are little more than a cost of doing business.

In 2022, Glencore were fined £281 million (approx. $375 million), the largest fine ever issued by a UK court, following an investigation into $25 million worth of bribes in Africa that granted them preferential access to oil. For a mining company worth roughly $85 billion amid a global boom in raw materials, that fine was trivial.

Even with further fines worth up to $1.2 billion to the US, DR Congo, Brazil and Switzerland, Glencore's financial security remains intact.

A financial slap on the wrist is simply not enough for the likes of Glencore and FIFA. It is only when their commercial appeal and legitimacy is seriously affected that they will enact any change.

Until integrity becomes more profitable than misconduct, corruption will remain a rational business strategy.
Yerbol Orynbayev

How a collective boycott changed FIFA's calculation

UEFA, together with CONCACAF and AFC, represent a substantial proportion of the commercial value and sporting legitimacy of FIFA competitions, so their collective boycott seriously threatened the profitability of Infantino's proposed World Cup sale plan.

That coordinated opposition demonstrated how collective stakeholder action can create meaningful economic pressure, and the plan's abandonment suggests that the pressure played a significant role.

Integrity has to pay more than misconduct

However, FIFA operates on the global stage, through a federated governance structure. That can be difficult to replicate at the local level, and so systemic change cannot depend solely on collective stakeholder action.

To see lasting, tangible reform, integrity and compliance need to become the more attractive strategy.

That, though, can only be achieved when the rewards for good governance outweigh the benefits of misconduct. Coordinated stakeholder action is just one tool for this, but it should be accompanied by more robust regulations, investor pressure, and enforceable governance mechanisms.

Until integrity becomes more profitable than misconduct, corruption will remain a rational business strategy.

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The reading list

Four things Yerbol has been reading, and why they're worth your time.

  1. commentcentral.co.ukFIFA's red card scandal exposed a gap in corporate corruption oversight. The UN must fix it

    I wrote this piece about the implications of the last FIFA scandal. It gives some more context on my thoughts.

  2. worldfinance.comThe Fed's struggle for independence

    I spoke to Alex Katsomitros about the dangers of political interference in the central bank for this great World Finance Magazine piece.

  3. investing.comDow posts first record close in nearly a month as stocks rally to kick off August

    This Investing.com piece by Anuron Mitra that I commented in is definitely worth a read.

  4. skadden.comThe EU anti-corruption directive: what it means for companies

    This is a really fascinating read from Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP on what the new directive means for corporate compliance.

Questions this issue answers

Why did FIFA abandon its plan to sell stakes in the World Cup?

Yerbol Orynbayev argues that a collective boycott by UEFA, CONCACAF and AFC seriously threatened the profitability of Gianni Infantino's proposed sale. These confederations represent a substantial share of the commercial value and sporting legitimacy of FIFA competitions, and the plan's abandonment suggests that pressure played a significant role.

Do large fines stop corporate corruption?

According to Yerbol Orynbayev, fines may work for smaller bodies but are little more than a cost of doing business for the largest organizations. He points to Glencore's £281 million UK fine in 2022, which was trivial for a mining company worth roughly $85 billion, and notes that even further fines of up to $1.2 billion left its financial security intact.

What would it take to reduce corporate corruption?

Yerbol Orynbayev argues that integrity and compliance need to become the more attractive strategy, which only happens when the rewards for good governance outweigh the benefits of misconduct. Coordinated stakeholder action is one tool, but he says it should be accompanied by more robust regulations, investor pressure and enforceable governance mechanisms.

Written by

Yerbol Orynbayev

Economist and former Deputy Prime Minister. Washington D.C.

Expert in the governance practices shaping global corporations today.

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